Week 9 Results

Let me start things off by saying I'm sorry. I was correct that I'd beat the coin, but I took it a little far. In laughing at the coin's pick of the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers I, in turn, jinxed the sad Packers. Pretty sad actually, losing to a winless team who started their rookie quarterback. And blew an eleven point lead in the 4th quarter. I may, and i stress the may, have jinxed the Packers but (Coach) Mike McCarthy deserves the blame. As much as I'd love to talk about the Packers problems, this is just the Man against Coin (or odds, if you want to be all technical). I am considering starting another blog to discuss my thoughts on the Packers, the NFL, and other sports. But that's not the task at hand right now. So lefts get down to business.

Like I mentioned right away in this blog entry, I was correct in stating I had this one in the bag this week. I didn't have an outstanding week in anyway. It was a decent week, for my picks without the spread atleast. I don't know what it is about picking with the spread, but it's just a little harder. Maybe you over think. But people with the spread generally have a lower pick percentage than they do with picks without the spread involved. This is where the coin may have an advantage. It doesn't think about the games like I have to. It just lands Heads (Home Team) or Tails (Away). Now to the results from week nine.

I picked eight of the thirteen games correctly. That's a 62% success rate.
The Coin picked two of the thirteen games correctly. That's a 15% success rate.

Looked pretty lowly for the coin, I know. But now look at the results from the picks with the spread.

I picked six of the thirteen games correctly with the spread. That's a 46% success rate.
The Coin picked seven of the thirteen games correctly with the spread. That's a 54% success rate.

I was feeling pretty good until I saw my results from the picks with the spread. Well, worse when I saw the coin beat me. But that's what Norman Chad had said on that podcast last week. That you could be better off flipping a coin when making picks. And you'd come out ahead or about the same as you would if you picked them yourself. Chad's picks he made for ESPN were done with the spread. That is why I made the late addition of it to my tests. I admit, I think he may be right as for the coin flip for picks with the spread. So far, it's proving true.

On a last note, it's that time of the year when NFL Network gets their game of the week. So starting this week, I'll have to be making my picks either late Wednesday night or sometime Thursday. Football Thursday to Monday. Sounds good, but when you don't get to see that Thursday night game it's almost like it could of just waited til Sunday. And then you got to check your fantasy football an extra two days before you're used to.